Engels naar Nederlands Zakelijk / financieel Financieel-economisch (algemeen) stock markets

The odds favor President Trump's reelection. Does that mean he'll get reelected? No, it doesn't. Can we *handicap* that now? No, we can't.
Will we get closer to *handicapping* that as we get closer to the election?
Of course, because finally we'll get an opponent that's the singular Democratic nominee
and you can begin to figure out that horse race. But normally, this election or any other,
you start with the presumption that other things being equal, which of course they never truly are, other things being equal, the incumbent has a huge advantage.

Hoe kan ik handicap/handicapping hier het best vertalen. Dit komt uit een videopresentatie van een beleggingsfirma.